🇳🇴 Eliteserien·Sunday, 30 August 2026·15:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Start | 2.28 | 2.28 |
| Draw | 3.72 | 3.72 |
| KFUM Oslo | 2.93 | 2.93 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketStart
42%
Draw
25%
KFUM Oslo
33%
Start 1.58 xGexpected goals1.33 xG KFUM Oslo
Start win 42% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 59% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11.9%).
Start score at least twice in 47%; KFUM Oslo in 39%.
1–1 11.9%2–1 8.7%1–2 8.2%1–0 7.5%2–0 6.8%0–1 6.8%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.2 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 2.1 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 7.5 | 11.9 | 8.2 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 8.7 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.7 | 4.7 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Start goals · columns = KFUM Oslo goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score59%
Over 1.5 goals80%
Over 2.5 goals56%
Over 3.5 goals33%
Over 4.5 goals17%
Start clean sheet26%
KFUM Oslo clean sheet21%
Start score 2+47%
KFUM Oslo score 2+39%
Start score 3+21%
Model vs market
| Source | Start | Draw | KFUM Oslo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 45% | 26% | 29% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Metis Forecast | 42% | 25% | 33% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Start
| 15 Mar | A | vs KFUM Oslo | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | H | vs Aalesund | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Apr | A | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Lillestrom | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | H | vs Molde | 1–1 | D |
KFUM Oslo
| 15 Mar | H | vs Start | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Fredrikstad | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Apr | H | vs Sandefjord | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Aalesund | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | vs HamKam | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
| 15 Mar 26 | KFUM OslovsStart | 2 – 0 |
Start: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Start (Home) | KFUM Oslo (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 71.4% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 37.5% | 85.7% |
| Clean sheet | 12.5% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | 3.29 |
Home stats use Start's home record; away stats use KFUM Oslo's away record this season.