Start vs KFUM Oslo — Eliteserien result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 7.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Start
48%
pick · result
Draw
26%
KFUM Oslo
26%
Final score
4–1
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Start win 47.8% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Start win. Expected goals 1.65–1.25 against 4–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.2%), 2–1 (10.6%), 1–0 (9.1%). It finished 4–1.
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Start
| 15 Mar | A | vs KFUM Oslo | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | H | vs Aalesund | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Apr | A | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Lillestrom | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | H | vs Molde | 1–1 | D |
KFUM Oslo
| 15 Mar | H | vs Start | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Fredrikstad | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Apr | H | vs Sandefjord | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Aalesund | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | vs HamKam | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Start (Home · 10 matches) | KFUM Oslo (Away · 10 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 70.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 10.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.70 | 3.40 |
Home stats use Start's home record; away stats use KFUM Oslo's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.