Start vs Brann — Eliteserien result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 30.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Start
28%
result
Draw
23%
Brann
48%
top pick
Final score
2–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Start win 28.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Brann win. Expected goals 1.33–1.80 against 2–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.7%), 1–2 (9.7%), 0–1 (7.3%). It finished 2–0.
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Start
| 15 Mar | A | vs KFUM Oslo | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | H | vs Aalesund | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Apr | A | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 1–1 | D |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Lillestrom | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Apr | H | vs Molde | 1–1 | D |
Brann
| 15 Mar | A | vs Kristiansund | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Tromso | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Apr | A | vs HamKam | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Sandefjord | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Viking | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Start (Home · 13 matches) | Brann (Away · 12 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 46.2% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 38.5% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 23.1% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 2.69 | 3.67 |
Home stats use Start's home record; away stats use Brann's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.