Sandefjord vs Viking — Eliteserien result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 4 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 9.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Sandefjord
24%
Draw
22%
result
Viking
54%
top pick
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 22.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Viking win. Expected goals 1.15–1.83 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.4%), 1–2 (10.4%), 0–1 (9.0%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Sandefjord
| 15 Mar | A | vs Valerenga | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Apr | A | vs KFUM Oslo | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Brann | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Rosenborg | 0–0 | D |
Viking
| 14 Mar | A | vs HamKam | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | H | vs Molde | 4–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | A | vs Valerenga | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Bodo/Glimt | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Brann | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Sandefjord (Home · 11 matches) | Viking (Away · 11 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 27.3% | 63.6% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 27.3% | 54.5% |
| Clean sheet | 45.5% | 27.3% |
| Avg goals | 1.82 | 2.36 |
Home stats use Sandefjord's home record; away stats use Viking's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.