🇳🇴 Eliteserien·Sunday, 30 August 2026·15:00
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Sandefjord | 3.24 | 3.24 |
| Draw | 3.77 | 3.77 |
| Brann | 2.11 | 2.11 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketSandefjord
29%
Draw
25%
Brann
46%
Sandefjord 1.38 xGexpected goals1.63 xG Brann
Brann win 46% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 61% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11.6%).
Sandefjord score at least twice in 39%; Brann in 49%.
1–1 11.6%1–2 10.8%0–1 8.4%0–2 6.8%2–1 6.3%2–2 6.0%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6 | 8.4 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 5.0 | 11.6 | 10.9 | 5.1 | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 6.4 | 6.0 | 4.1 | 1.4 | 0.5 |
| 3 | 2.4 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Sandefjord goals · columns = Brann goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score61%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals35%
Over 4.5 goals19%
Sandefjord clean sheet19%
Brann clean sheet26%
Sandefjord score 2+39%
Brann score 2+49%
Sandefjord score 3+16%
Model vs market
| Source | Sandefjord | Draw | Brann |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 41% | 26% | 33% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 29% | 25% | 46% |
| Metis Forecast | 29% | 25% | 46% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Sandefjord
| 15 Mar | A | vs Valerenga | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Apr | A | vs KFUM Oslo | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Brann | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Rosenborg | 0–0 | D |
Brann
| 15 Mar | A | vs Kristiansund | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Tromso | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Apr | A | vs HamKam | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Sandefjord | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Viking | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
| 12 Apr 26 | BrannvsSandefjord | 0 – 1 |
Sandefjord: 1W 0D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Sandefjord (Home) | Brann (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 25.0% | 87.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 25.0% | 87.5% |
| Clean sheet | 37.5% | 12.5% |
| Avg goals | 1.88 | 4.12 |
Home stats use Sandefjord's home record; away stats use Brann's away record this season.