Molde vs KFUM Oslo — Eliteserien result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 7.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Molde
73%
pick · result
Draw
17%
KFUM Oslo
10%
Final score
2–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Molde win 72.6% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Molde win. Expected goals 2.56–0.97 against 2–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (9.6%), 2–1 (9.3%), 3–0 (8.2%). It finished 2–0 — one of them.
Want the model's read each week? Subscribe for free.
Recent form
Molde
| 14 Mar | H | vs Rosenborg | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Viking | 1–4 | L |
| 6 Apr | H | vs Lillestrom | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | vs HamKam | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Apr | A | vs Start | 1–1 | D |
KFUM Oslo
| 15 Mar | H | vs Start | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Fredrikstad | 1–3 | L |
| 7 Apr | H | vs Sandefjord | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Aalesund | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | vs HamKam | 0–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Molde (Home · 13 matches) | KFUM Oslo (Away · 12 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 69.2% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 69.2% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 23.1% | 8.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.85 | 3.33 |
Home stats use Molde's home record; away stats use KFUM Oslo's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.