Kristiansund vs Rosenborg — Eliteserien result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 19 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 10.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Kristiansund
17%
Draw
18%
Rosenborg
65%
pick · result
Final score
1–3
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Rosenborg win 65.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rosenborg win. Expected goals 1.12–2.13 against 1–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–2 (12.6%), 0–2 (9.5%), 0–1 (9.2%). It finished 1–3.
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Kristiansund
| 15 Mar | H | vs Brann | 3–2 | W |
| 6 Apr | H | vs Bodo/Glimt | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Tromso | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | H | vs Fredrikstad | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Aalesund | 1–1 | D |
Rosenborg
| 14 Mar | A | vs Molde | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Valerenga | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Apr | A | vs Tromso | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Sandefjord | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Kristiansund (Home · 12 matches) | Rosenborg (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 23.1% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 61.5% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 46.2% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 2.92 |
Home stats use Kristiansund's home record; away stats use Rosenborg's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.