HamKam vs Kristiansund — Eliteserien result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Independent model — no market priceFrozen as published · 7.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
HamKam
55%
top pick
Draw
23%
result
Kristiansund
21%
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 23.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a HamKam win. Expected goals 1.96–1.22 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (10.8%), 2–1 (9.8%), 2–0 (8.0%). It finished 2–2.
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HamKam
| 14 Mar | H | vs Viking | 2–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | H | vs Brann | 1–5 | L |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Molde | 1–4 | L |
| 19 Apr | H | vs KFUM Oslo | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | H | vs Start | 2–1 | W |
Kristiansund
| 15 Mar | H | vs Brann | 3–2 | W |
| 6 Apr | H | vs Bodo/Glimt | 0–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Tromso | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Apr | H | vs Fredrikstad | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Aalesund | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | HamKam (Home · 10 matches) | Kristiansund (Away · 11 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 70.0% | 54.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 70.0% | 54.5% |
| Clean sheet | 30.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.60 | 3.09 |
Home stats use HamKam's home record; away stats use Kristiansund's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.