Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt — Eliteserien result and pre-match forecast, Friday, 4 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 7.5 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Fredrikstad
11%
Draw
16%
Bodo/Glimt
73%
pick · result
Final score
1–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Bodo/Glimt win 72.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Bodo/Glimt win. Expected goals 0.97–2.48 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–2 (10.8%), 0–2 (10.3%), 1–3 (8.4%). It finished 1–2 — one of them.
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Fredrikstad
| 15 Mar | A | vs Tromso | 0–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs KFUM Oslo | 3–1 | W |
| 7 Apr | A | vs Aalesund | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Valerenga | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | A | vs Kristiansund | 0–2 | L |
Bodo/Glimt
| 6 Apr | A | vs Kristiansund | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Viking | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Aalesund | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Lillestrom | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Fredrikstad (Home · 10 matches) | Bodo/Glimt (Away · 11 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 70.0% | 54.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 72.7% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 36.4% |
| Avg goals | 2.40 | 3.18 |
Home stats use Fredrikstad's home record; away stats use Bodo/Glimt's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.