Brann vs Bodo/Glimt — Eliteserien result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Brann
20%
result
Draw
19%
Bodo/Glimt
61%
top pick
Final score
2–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave a Brann win 19.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Bodo/Glimt win. Expected goals 1.33–2.30 against 2–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–2 (10.4%), 1–1 (8.0%), 1–3 (7.5%). It finished 2–1.
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Brann
| 15 Mar | A | vs Kristiansund | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Tromso | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Apr | A | vs HamKam | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Sandefjord | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Viking | 2–3 | L |
Bodo/Glimt
| 6 Apr | A | vs Kristiansund | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Viking | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Aalesund | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Lillestrom | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Brann (Home · 13 matches) | Bodo/Glimt (Away · 12 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 76.9% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 84.6% | 66.7% |
| Clean sheet | 7.7% | 41.7% |
| Avg goals | 3.31 | 3.08 |
Home stats use Brann's home record; away stats use Bodo/Glimt's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.