Brann vs Bodo/Glimt — Eliteserien forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Brann
21%
Draw
20%
Bodo/Glimt
60%
Expected goals
1.34–2.29
Brann · Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt win 60% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–2 (10.2%), 1–1 (8.2%), 1–3 (7.4%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 67% of simulations.
Those three cover 26% of outcomes; the other 74% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Brann score at least twice in 39%; Bodo/Glimt in 67%.
Scoreline distribution
Bodo/Glimt goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.1 | 5.8 | 7.2 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 1.9 |
| 1 | 2.7 | 8.2 | 10.2 | 7.4 | 4.0 | 2.7 |
| 2 | 2.4 | 5.1 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| 3 | 1.1 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| 4 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.3 |
| 5+ | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 |
Rows: Brann goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 24% | 22% | 54% |
| Market reference | 21% | 20% | 60% |
| Metis Forecast | 21% | 20% | 60% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle | Bet365 | William Hill | 1xBet | Betano | Betfair SB | BetVictor | MarathonBet | SBO | Best |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brann | 4.59 | 4.75 | 4.20 | 4.56 | 4.40 | 4.50 | 4.33 | 4.45 | 4.08 | 4.75 Bet365 |
| Draw | 4.78 | 4.33 | 4.20 | 4.66 | 4.30 | 4.50 | 4.40 | 4.55 | 4.20 | 4.78 Pinnacle |
| Bodo/Glimt | 1.62 | 1.62 | 1.62 | 1.63 | 1.65 | 1.60 | 1.57 | 1.59 | 1.56 | 1.65 Betano |
Reference prices, published with the 23 Sep · 03:58 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Brann
| 15 Mar | A | vs Kristiansund | 2–3 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Tromso | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Apr | A | vs HamKam | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Sandefjord | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Viking | 2–3 | L |
Bodo/Glimt
| 6 Apr | A | vs Kristiansund | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Viking | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Aalesund | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Lillestrom | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
| 24 May 26 | Bodo/GlimtvsBrann | 3 – 1 |
Brann: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Brann (Home · 11 matches) | Bodo/Glimt (Away · 11 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 81.8% | 54.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 90.9% | 72.7% |
| Clean sheet | 9.1% | 36.4% |
| Avg goals | 3.27 | 3.18 |
Home stats use Brann's home record; away stats use Bodo/Glimt's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.