Bodo/Glimt vs Viking — Eliteserien forecast, Friday, 30 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Bodo/Glimt
57%
Draw
21%
Viking
21%
Expected goals
2.09–1.24
Bodo/Glimt · Viking
Bodo/Glimt win 57% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–1 (10.3%), 1–1 (9.5%), 2–0 (8.0%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 63% of simulations.
Those three cover 28% of outcomes; the other 72% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Bodo/Glimt score at least twice in 62%; Viking in 35%.
Scoreline distribution
Viking goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.1 | 3.6 | 2.8 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 9.5 | 5.6 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 8.0 | 10.3 | 5.7 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 5.4 | 6.9 | 4.5 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 2.7 | 3.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 1.6 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Rows: Bodo/Glimt goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 55% | 23% | 22% |
| Market reference | 57% | 21% | 21% |
| Metis Forecast | 57% | 21% | 21% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 1.68 |
| Draw | 4.38 |
| Viking | 4.39 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Bodo/Glimt
| 6 Apr | A | vs Kristiansund | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Viking | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Aalesund | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Lillestrom | 2–0 | W |
Viking
| 14 Mar | A | vs HamKam | 1–2 | L |
| 21 Mar | H | vs Molde | 4–1 | W |
| 6 Apr | A | vs Valerenga | 1–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | H | vs Bodo/Glimt | 5–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Brann | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
| 11 Apr 26 | VikingvsBodo/Glimt | 5 – 0 |
Bodo/Glimt: 0W 0D 1L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Bodo/Glimt (Home · 11 matches) | Viking (Away · 12 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 36.4% | 58.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 81.8% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 54.5% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.73 | 2.33 |
Home stats use Bodo/Glimt's home record; away stats use Viking's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.