Tromso arrive at Aspmyra Stadion sitting top of the Eliteserien and in strong form, but this is a genuinely difficult test against a Bodo/Glimt side that has been near-impenetrable at home this season. The hosts have kept clean sheets in the majority of their home fixtures, conceding an average of just 0.3 goals per game on their own turf — a remarkable figure well below the league norm. That defensive solidity shapes this contest significantly.

Tromso have shown a decent threat away from home, with BTTS landing in two-thirds of their away games compared to a league average of 51%, but that record looks set to be tested here. Bodo/Glimt's home BTTS rate sits at a striking 0%, suggesting they consistently control games and limit opposition chances when playing in front of their own fans.

With no head-to-head history to draw on, the data points to a low-scoring, competitive affair. This looks tighter than a glance at the league table might suggest, and Bodo/Glimt appear undervalued as hosts.