Bodo/Glimt vs Sandefjord — Eliteserien result and pre-match forecast, Monday, 14 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.9 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Bodo/Glimt
83%
pick · result
Draw
10%
Sandefjord
7%
Final score
3–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Bodo/Glimt win 83.2% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Bodo/Glimt win. Expected goals 3.48–0.81 against 3–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 3–0 (9.5%), 4–0 (8.6%), 2–0 (7.8%). It finished 3–2.
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Bodo/Glimt
| 6 Apr | A | vs Kristiansund | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Viking | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Aalesund | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Lillestrom | 2–0 | W |
Sandefjord
| 15 Mar | A | vs Valerenga | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 0–2 | L |
| 7 Apr | A | vs KFUM Oslo | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Brann | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Rosenborg | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Bodo/Glimt (Home · 13 matches) | Sandefjord (Away · 13 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 38.5% | 69.2% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 76.9% | 61.5% |
| Clean sheet | 46.2% | 7.7% |
| Avg goals | 3.62 | 2.92 |
Home stats use Bodo/Glimt's home record; away stats use Sandefjord's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.