Bodo/Glimt vs Rosenborg — Eliteserien result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 30 August 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 4.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Bodo/Glimt
71%
pick · result
Draw
16%
Rosenborg
13%
Final score
4–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Bodo/Glimt win 71.3% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Bodo/Glimt win. Expected goals 2.67–0.98 against 4–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 2–0 (9.1%), 2–1 (8.4%), 3–0 (8.3%). It finished 4–2.
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Bodo/Glimt
| 6 Apr | A | vs Kristiansund | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Viking | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Aalesund | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Lillestrom | 2–0 | W |
Rosenborg
| 14 Mar | A | vs Molde | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Valerenga | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Apr | A | vs Tromso | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Sandefjord | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Bodo/Glimt (Home · 10 matches) | Rosenborg (Away · 10 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 30.0% | 30.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 80.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 60.0% | 30.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.70 | 2.90 |
Home stats use Bodo/Glimt's home record; away stats use Rosenborg's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.