🇳🇴 Eliteserien·Sunday, 30 August 2026·12:30
Odds comparison
| Market | Pinnacle | Best |
|---|---|---|
| Bodo/Glimt | 1.36 | 1.36 |
| Draw | 5.82 | 5.82 |
| Rosenborg | 7.30 | 7.30 |
Metis Forecast
model + marketBodo/Glimt
71%
Draw
16%
Rosenborg
13%
Bodo/Glimt 2.58 xGexpected goals0.94 xG Rosenborg
Bodo/Glimt win 71% of the current Metis Forecast.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9.8%).
Bodo/Glimt score at least twice in 72%; Rosenborg in 24%.
2–0 9.8%2–1 8.8%3–0 8.6%3–1 7.7%1–1 7.3%1–0 6.9%
Scoreline distribution
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 6.9 | 7.3 | 3.9 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.8 | 8.8 | 4.0 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.6 | 7.7 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 5.1 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
rows = Bodo/Glimt goals · columns = Rosenborg goals · % of simulations
Match outcomes
Both teams score56%
Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals68%
Over 3.5 goals47%
Over 4.5 goals28%
Bodo/Glimt clean sheet40%
Rosenborg clean sheet8%
Bodo/Glimt score 2+72%
Rosenborg score 2+24%
Bodo/Glimt score 3+48%
Model vs market
| Source | Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Rosenborg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 76% | 16% | 8% |
| Market (de-vigged) | 71% | 16% | 13% |
| Metis Forecast | 71% | 16% | 13% |
The Metis Forecast combines the model's scoreline structure with de-vigged market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model output is kept separate and benchmarked independently.
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Bodo/Glimt
| 6 Apr | A | vs Kristiansund | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | A | vs Viking | 0–5 | L |
| 15 Apr | A | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 1–1 | D |
| 18 Apr | H | vs Aalesund | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | vs Lillestrom | 2–0 | W |
Rosenborg
| 14 Mar | A | vs Molde | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Mar | H | vs Valerenga | 0–2 | L |
| 6 Apr | A | vs Tromso | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | vs Sarpsborg 08 | 2–1 | W |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Sandefjord | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 29 May 26 | RosenborgvsBodo/Glimt | 2 – 2 |
Bodo/Glimt: 0W 1D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Bodo/Glimt (Home) | Rosenborg (Away) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 37.5% |
| Clean sheet | 75.0% | 37.5% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 2.38 |
Home stats use Bodo/Glimt's home record; away stats use Rosenborg's away record this season.