Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 — Eliteserien forecast, Sunday, 11 October 2026
Eliteserien·Sunday, 11 October 2026·15:00
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Aalesund | 2.57 |
| Draw | 3.77 |
| Sarpsborg 08 | 2.54 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 28 Sep · 04:02 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Aalesund
| 15 Mar | H | vs Lillestrom | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Mar | A | vs Start | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Apr | H | vs Fredrikstad | 2–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | H | vs KFUM Oslo | 2–2 | D |
| 18 Apr | A | vs Bodo/Glimt | 0–3 | L |
Sarpsborg 08
| 22 Mar | A | vs Sandefjord | 2–0 | W |
| 6 Apr | H | vs Start | 1–1 | D |
| 12 Apr | A | vs Rosenborg | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Apr | H | vs Bodo/Glimt | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | H | vs Tromso | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Aalesund (Home · 11 matches) | Sarpsborg 08 (Away · 11 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 90.9% | 54.5% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 72.7% | 54.5% |
| Clean sheet | 9.1% | 27.3% |
| Avg goals | 4.36 | 2.64 |
Home stats use Aalesund's home record; away stats use Sarpsborg 08's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.