St. Louis City arrive into this one in dire straits, sitting 29th in the league and winless in their last five, conceding as many as they score at home this season. Their clean sheet rate of zero at home is a damning statistic, though BTTS landing in 75% of their home games is well above the league average of 58%, suggesting they tend to be involved in open, chaotic affairs regardless of the opposition.

Los Angeles FC represent a sharp contrast. Sitting fourth, they have kept clean sheets in 60% of their away matches and concede under a goal per game on the road, figures that point to a disciplined, well-organised defensive unit travelling with genuine confidence. Their BTTS rate away from home sits at just 40%, well below the league norm.

The data suggests LAFC's defensive solidity could prove decisive here against a St. Louis side that simply cannot stop conceding. The visitors look undervalued given the gulf in current form and league standing.