Real Salt Lake vs Los Angeles FC — MLS result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 17.6 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Real Salt Lake
34%
Draw
25%
result
Los Angeles FC
40%
top pick
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 25.4% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Los Angeles FC win. Expected goals 1.42–1.59 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (11.8%), 2–1 (8.5%), 1–2 (8.4%). It finished 2–2.
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Real Salt Lake
| 22 Feb | A | vs Vancouver Whitecaps | 0–1 | L |
| 1 Mar | H | vs Seattle Sounders | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Mar | A | vs Atlanta Utd | 3–2 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | vs Austin FC | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs San Diego FC | 2–2 | D |
Los Angeles FC
| 22 Feb | H | vs Inter Miami | 3–0 | W |
| 1 Mar | A | vs Houston Dynamo | 2–0 | W |
| 8 Mar | H | vs FC Dallas | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | H | vs St. Louis City | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Mar | A | vs Austin FC | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Real Salt Lake (Home · 14 matches) | Los Angeles FC (Away · 15 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 57.1% | 53.3% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 71.4% | 53.3% |
| Clean sheet | 21.4% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.36 | 2.47 |
Home stats use Real Salt Lake's home record; away stats use Los Angeles FC's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.