Mallorca vs Sabadell — La Liga 2 result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 32.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Mallorca
57%
pick · result
Draw
25%
Sabadell
18%
Final score
2–0
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Mallorca win 57.5% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Mallorca win. Expected goals 1.62–0.83 against 2–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–0 (14.3%), 2–0 (11.7%), 1–1 (11.6%). It finished 2–0 — one of them.
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Mallorca
| 15 Aug | H | vs Valladolid | 2–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Granada | 0–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Ceuta | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Eldense | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Sabadell | 2–0 | W |
Sabadell
| 17 Aug | A | vs Sp Gijon | 0–0 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | vs Castellon | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Almeria | 1–0 | W |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Cordoba | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Mallorca | 0–2 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Mallorca (Home · 6 matches) | Sabadell (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 33.3% | 42.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 28.6% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 28.6% |
| Avg goals | 2.50 | 1.57 |
Home stats use Mallorca's home record; away stats use Sabadell's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.