Villarreal head into this clash sitting third in La Liga and will be keen to maintain pressure at the top end of the table. Their home record has been productive this season, averaging 2.3 goals scored per game while conceding fewer than one on average, suggesting a side that controls games well on their own patch. Levante arrive in the relegation zone and, despite some encouraging recent away form, their defensive record on the road remains a concern, conceding 1.6 per game away from home.

The goal data here tells an interesting story. Villarreal's home matches have gone over 2.5 goals at a rate well above the league average, driven largely by their attacking output rather than defensive vulnerability. Levante's away fixtures, however, have been notably low-scoring, with BTTS and over 2.5 both landing well below the league average.

The table gap and home advantage point firmly toward Villarreal, and this looks more comfortable than a routine top-versus-bottom fixture might suggest on paper.