## Valencia vs Girona | La Liga | April 25

Valencia head into this mid-table clash with a patchy but encouraging home record, winning three of their last five at Mestalla. They're a compact unit defensively at home, keeping things relatively tight, though they've struggled to consistently find the net. Girona arrive in mixed away form but carry a genuine attacking threat — their road trips this season have been open, high-BTTS affairs, with clean sheets almost nonexistent.

The head-to-head sample is thin, but Girona took the bragging rights in the most recent meeting. Both sides sit close in the table, which historically produces competitive, scrappy encounters where neither team can afford to lose ground.

The data suggests both teams finding the net is the more likely scenario here, with Girona's leaky away defence meeting a Valencia side that does score at home. This looks like a closer contest than a straightforward home win narrative implies.