Sevilla arrive at this fixture in desperate form, winning just once in their last five and sitting dangerously close to the relegation zone in 17th. Their home record offers little comfort — conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game at the Ramon Sanchez-Pizjoan and keeping a clean sheet in just 12% of home matches, they are an extremely leaky defensive unit. The lone H2H meeting on record ended in a Sevilla defeat, adding further weight to the visitors' credentials here.

Real Sociedad bring reasonable away form, picking up wins in two of their last five on the road, though their defensive fragility away from home is notable — a clean sheet rate of just 7% and an average of 1.6 goals conceded per game. Both teams have genuine issues at the back, and that makes the goals angle compelling. Sevilla's home BTTS rate of 62% and Real Sociedad's away BTTS of 80% both sit well above the league average of 56%.

This looks like a game where goals are likely in both directions. Given Sevilla's slide and the pressure they are under, the visitors look undervalued to take something from this match.