Malaga vs Levante — La Liga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 6 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 1.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Malaga
40%
top pick
Draw
29%
result
Levante
31%
Final score
0–0
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 28.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Malaga win. Expected goals 1.48–1.19 against 0–0 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.8%), 0–0 (8.3%), 1–2 (8.2%). It finished 0–0 — one of them.
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Malaga
| 19 Aug | A | vs Atletico Madrid | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | H | vs La Coruna | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Real Madrid | 0–4 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Levante | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Celta Vigo | 1–1 | D |
Levante
| 16 Aug | A | vs Espanyol | 0–3 | L |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Osasuna | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | vs Real Betis | 5–2 | W |
| 6 Sept | A | vs Malaga | 0–0 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs Barcelona | 2–4 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Malaga (Home · 5 matches) | Levante (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 50.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 40.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 33.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 2.00 |
Home stats use Malaga's home record; away stats use Levante's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.