La Coruna vs Real Betis — La Liga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 20 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 8.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Deportivo La Coruna
26%
Draw
26%
result
Real Betis
48%
top pick
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 25.9% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Real Betis win. Expected goals 1.14–1.58 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.3%), 1–2 (10.2%), 0–1 (10.2%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Recent form
La Coruna
| 17 Aug | H | vs Elche | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Malaga | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Valencia | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Villarreal | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Getafe | 1–1 | D |
Real Betis
| 21 Aug | H | vs Real Sociedad | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | A | vs Valencia | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Levante | 2–5 | L |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Real Madrid | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Villarreal | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | La Coruna (Home · 6 matches) | Real Betis (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 83.3% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 33.3% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 40.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.33 | 2.60 |
Home stats use La Coruna's home record; away stats use Real Betis's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.