Girona head into this one in poor shape, taking just one point from their last five and sitting dangerously close to the relegation zone in 16th. Real Sociedad are hardly convincing on the road either, with one win in five away from home, though their away record this season stands out in one key area — they have kept a clean sheet in just 6% of away matches, conceding an average of 1.7 goals per game on the road. That vulnerability suits a Girona side that needs points badly and will look to press high and make things uncomfortable.

The goal data is the real talking point here. Real Sociedad's away BTTS rate of 81% is well above the La Liga average of 56%, and while Girona have been defensively shaky themselves, both teams finding the net looks firmly on the agenda. Girona's single H2H win offers little to go on, but the underlying numbers suggest this could be a more open affair than a mid-table clash might imply. The visitors look vulnerable, and Girona's desperation for points makes this tighter than their recent form might suggest.