Two sides locked in a relegation battle meet here, with neither able to afford a slip. Girona have been wretched in recent weeks, picking up just two draws from their last five, while Elche arrive in slightly better shape with back-to-back wins before a wobble. The solitary head-to-head meeting ended in Elche's favour, a small but notable detail given the pressure on both clubs.

The goal data here is the real talking point. Elche have kept a clean sheet in none of their away matches all season, with BTTS landing in 83% of those games, well above the league average of 57%. Girona, meanwhile, have been leaking goals at home, averaging 1.4 conceded per game. Both defences look fragile at exactly the wrong moment in the season.

This looks like a game with goals in it despite the low-stakes, nervous football that relegation scraps often produce. Elche's away record makes them quietly interesting given their recent form.