Getafe vs La Coruna — La Liga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 32.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Getafe
39%
top pick
Draw
34%
result
Deportivo La Coruna
27%
Final score
1–1
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 33.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Getafe win. Expected goals 1.32–1.06 against 1–1 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (16.0%), 0–0 (11.4%), 1–0 (10.3%). It finished 1–1 — one of them.
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Getafe
| 15 Aug | A | vs Alaves | 0–3 | L |
| 23 Aug | H | vs Santander | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | vs Osasuna | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Sept | H | vs Celta Vigo | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Sept | H | vs La Coruna | 1–1 | D |
La Coruna
| 17 Aug | H | vs Elche | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | A | vs Malaga | 1–1 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Valencia | 3–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | A | vs Villarreal | 3–2 | W |
| 13 Sept | A | vs Getafe | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Getafe (Home · 6 matches) | La Coruna (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 80.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 16.7% | 40.0% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 3.00 |
Home stats use Getafe's home record; away stats use La Coruna's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.