Elche head into this one in decent nick, having won three of their last five at home, and their attacking output reflects that — averaging 1.6 goals per game on home turf with BTTS and Over 2.5 both landing 59% of the time, comfortably above the league average. They are a team that creates chances and generally keeps things open at the Martínez Valero.

Getafe are the complicating factor. Away from home they are a different proposition entirely — low-scoring, hard to break down, and their BTTS rate of just 29% on the road is well below the league norm of 56%. They average under a goal per game away, suggesting they travel with a clear defensive structure and are not afraid to make games ugly.

The limited H2H sample offers little help, but the profile of this matchup — an open home side against a disciplined travelling unit — points to something tighter and lower-scoring than Elche's home numbers might imply. Getafe look undervalued as the away side here.