Celta Vigo vs Real Betis — La Liga forecast, Sunday, 25 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Celta Vigo
32%
Draw
27%
Real Betis
40%
Expected goals
1.33–1.47
Celta Vigo · Real Betis
Real Betis win 40% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (13.0%), 1–2 (9.3%), 0–1 (8.4%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Celta Vigo score at least twice in 38%; Real Betis in 44%.
Scoreline distribution
Real Betis goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.1 | 8.4 | 6.6 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 1 | 6.6 | 13.0 | 9.3 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 7.3 | 5.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| 3 | 2.5 | 3.4 | 2.4 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Celta Vigo goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market reference | 32% | 27% | 40% |
| Metis Forecast | 32% | 27% | 40% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
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Recent form
Celta Vigo
| 22 Aug | A | vs Valencia | 0–0 | D |
| 27 Aug | H | vs Osasuna | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Athletic Club | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Sept | A | vs Real Sociedad | 0–0 | D |
| 7 Sept | A | vs Getafe | 1–1 | D |
Real Betis
| 21 Aug | H | vs Real Sociedad | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Aug | A | vs Valencia | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Levante | 2–5 | L |
| 4 Sept | H | vs Real Madrid | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Sept | A | vs Villarreal | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Celta Vigo (Home · 5 matches) | Real Betis (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 60.0% | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 50.0% |
| Clean sheet | 20.0% | 25.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.00 | 3.25 |
Home stats use Celta Vigo's home record; away stats use Real Betis's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.