Celta Vigo come into this in patchy form, winning just two of their last five, but their sixth-place standing and home advantage against a side deep in relegation trouble makes them clear favourites here. Levante sit nineteenth and have been inconsistent on the road, though back-to-back away wins earlier in their last five show they are capable of picking up points when the pressure is on.

The goal data is the most telling part of this picture. Celta's home matches see BTTS land 65% of the time, well above the league average of 56%, suggesting they contribute to open, two-way games at Balaidos. Levante, however, keep things tighter away from home, with BTTS at just 41% and a clean sheet rate of 24%.

With Levante's survival likely depending on results like this, expect a disciplined, low-block approach from the visitors. This looks tighter and lower-scoring than the surface narrative suggests, and the visitors may be undervalued to stay in the game.