## Alaves vs Mallorca | La Liga | April 25

A genuinely nervous fixture between two sides separated by a single point near the foot of the table. Alaves have been inconsistent at home — just one clean sheet all season and a BTTS rate well above the league average — suggesting their backline remains vulnerable despite playing on familiar ground. Their attack has ticked over reasonably, but the recent run of two defeats and a draw offers little confidence.

Mallorca arrive in patchy away form but have shown they can hurt teams on the road, with their last five away games trending heavily towards goals at both ends. Their defensive record away from home is particularly concerning, conceding nearly two per game.

With both sides desperate for points in a relegation battle and neither defence looking trustworthy, this looks like a match where goals are more likely than the mid-table feel might suggest. The data suggests backing quality football won't be on the menu, but action might be.