Zaglebie head into this one in unconvincing form, winning just once in their last five and struggling for consistency at home. Their defensive record is actually one of their stronger suits this season, conceding under a goal per game on average at home, and they have kept a clean sheet in 44% of those fixtures — well above what you would typically expect in the Ekstraklasa. Pogon arrive in slightly better recent shape with two wins in their last five away from home, but they have been leaky on the road, keeping just one clean sheet all season away from Szczecin.

The data suggests this is a game where goals may be harder to come by than the league context implies. Both sides sit notably below the Polish top-flight average for BTTS and Over 2.5, and the limited head-to-head history offers little to contradict that. This looks tighter and lower-scoring than a mid-table clash might suggest, and Zaglebie's home defensive structure gives them a reasonable platform despite their inconsistency.