Wisla Plock come into this in decent shape, winning three of their last five at home, and their defensive record has been quietly impressive this season. They keep clean sheets at a remarkable rate for this level, and their home BTTS figure of 29% sits well below the Ekstraklasa average of 58%, pointing to a side that is hard to break down on their own patch.

Radomiak arrive in poor form, winless in five away games, and their defensive numbers on the road are alarming. Conceding over two goals per away game on average, with a clean sheet rate of just 7%, they have struggled badly to keep things tight. Their away BTTS of 79% and O2.5 of 64% are both well above league norms, but that reflects how open they have been rather than any attacking threat.

The clash of styles here is notable. Wisla Plock's defensive solidity at home against Radomiak's leaky away record suggests the hosts hold a meaningful advantage. This one looks more comfortable for Plock than the table gap might imply.