Wisla Plock head into this on a concerning run of three straight defeats, and their home record this season has been remarkably low-scoring. A BTTS rate of just 25% and an over 2.5 rate of 31% both sit well below the Ekstraklasa average, with the hosts keeping clean sheets in 44% of home games. Goals have been hard to come by at their ground, and that pattern is unlikely to be disrupted by a Gornik Zabrze side that concedes fairly freely on the road, averaging 1.4 per away game.

Gornik arrive in much better shape, with four wins from their last five and a top-four position to defend. Their away BTTS rate of 53% is closer to the league norm, suggesting they tend to be involved in more open encounters on the road. The limited head-to-head history offers little to work with, but form points firmly toward the visitors. This looks tighter than a glance at the standings might suggest, but Gornik are undervalued here.