Widzew Lodz head into this one on an alternating W-L pattern across their last five, which makes them difficult to read but suggests vulnerability at home despite a reasonable defensive record — conceding under a goal per game on average at their own ground. Piast Gliwice arrive in modest road form with just one win in five away, though they have kept things tight with three draws. The visitors have kept a clean sheet in just 12% of their away trips, well below the league norm, which points to a side that tends to be involved in open, scrappy affairs on the road.

The goal data is the most telling detail here. Piast's away matches have seen BTTS land in 69% of games and over 2.5 goals in 62%, both comfortably above Ekstraklasa averages. Widzew's home games are quieter, but even so, this fixture has the look of one where both sides contribute. With a bottom-half home side under pressure and a leaky visiting defence, the data suggests there is more value in anticipating goals than a tight, low-scoring contest.