Widzew Lodz sit 16th and are in genuinely poor shape, winning just twice in their last five while averaging under a goal and a half at home this season. Their home games have been tight and low-scoring affairs, with a clean sheet rate of 47% and BTTS landing well below the Ekstraklasa average. Lechia Gdansk arrive in mid-table comfort but their away form is a concern, losing three of their last five on the road.

That said, Lechia's away matches have been consistently open. They have kept zero clean sheets away from home all season, with BTTS at 73% and over 2.5 goals landing at 80%, both well above the league average. That attacking vulnerability cuts both ways and should bring some life to what might otherwise look like a dour relegation-zone fixture.

The stylistic contrast is sharp here. Widzew defend well at home but struggle to score, while Lechia leak goals wherever they go. This looks like a match where goals are more likely than the hosts' home profile alone would suggest, and the visitors are capable of nicking something despite their inconsistency.