Termalica sit bottom of the Ekstraklasa and their home form offers little comfort, winning just two of their last five at home while conceding at an alarming average of 1.8 per game. They have kept a clean sheet in just 6% of home matches this season, and with Lechia arriving having scored 1.5 goals per away game, the hosts look vulnerable from the off.

Lechia's away record is poor on paper with four losses in their last five on the road, but the underlying numbers tell a more interesting story. They have been involved in goals consistently, with BTTS landing in 75% of away games and over 2.5 goals in 81% of them, well above the league average of 52%. A clean sheet for either side looks unlikely given both teams rank among the leakiest defensive units in those respective contexts.

This looks like a game that will produce goals regardless of the result. The visitors are capable of finding the net even in defeat, and Termalica's defensive frailties at home make this fixture feel more open than a mid-table versus relegation matchup might suggest.