Slask Wroclaw vs Korona Kielce — Ekstraklasa result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 4.4 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Slask Wroclaw
35%
Draw
28%
Korona Kielce
37%
pick · result
Final score
1–2
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Korona Kielce win 36.7% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Korona Kielce win. Expected goals 1.41–1.38 against 1–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (13.4%), 1–2 (9.0%), 0–1 (8.1%). It finished 1–2 — one of them.
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Slask Wroclaw
| 25 Jul | A | vs Gornik Zabrze | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | H | vs Rakow | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Cracovia | 0–0 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Zaglebie | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Widzew Lodz | 3–3 | D |
Korona Kielce
| 25 Jul | A | vs Jagiellonia | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Legia | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Widzew Lodz | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Motor Lublin | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Wisla Plock | 2–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Slask Wroclaw (Home · 6 matches) | Korona Kielce (Away · 7 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 66.7% | 42.9% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 66.7% | 42.9% |
| Clean sheet | 33.3% | 14.3% |
| Avg goals | 3.17 | 2.71 |
Home stats use Slask Wroclaw's home record; away stats use Korona Kielce's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.