Piast Gliwice head into this one in patchy form, winning two on the bounce before back-to-back defeats, and their home record this season has been far from convincing with an average of just 1.1 goals scored per game. Their BTTS rate of 43% and O2.5 rate of 36% both sit well below the Ekstraklasa average, pointing to low-scoring, tight affairs at their ground. The lone H2H meeting ended in defeat for Piast, adding another layer of uncertainty for the home side.

Arka Gdynia arrive in 16th but have been reasonably competitive away from home, taking seven points from their last five on the road. However, their away defensive record is alarming, conceding an average of 2.3 goals per game with a clean sheet rate of just 14%. Despite that, their BTTS rate of 29% away suggests they often go quiet offensively. This looks a tighter, scrappier contest than the standings imply, with Arka carrying more threat than their league position suggests.