Lechia Gdansk head into this one in decent shape, sitting fifth and winning three of their last five at home. Their home record this season has been genuinely open — a BTTS rate of 71% and over 2.5 goals in 64% of matches puts them well above the Ekstraklasa averages, and averaging 2.4 goals scored per home game underlines how attacking-minded they can be. The concern is defensive, with only a 21% clean sheet rate suggesting they are rarely watertight.

Rakow arrive in seventh but have been frustratingly inconsistent, picking up just one win in five away from home. Their away BTTS of 67% mirrors the same open pattern, and neither side has shown much ability to keep things tight.

The limited head-to-head history slightly favours Rakow, but the overall picture here is one of goals rather than a dominant winner. This match looks like it could be more open than a mid-table derby might suggest.