Lechia Gdansk head into Monday's clash at Energa Stadion in decent touch, having taken four points from their last two home fixtures and sitting comfortably in the top four. Their home record this season reflects a side that tends to control games without always cutting loose, averaging 1.6 goals scored but also conceding at a fairly regular clip. Piast Gliwice arrive in mixed form, sitting twelfth and without a consistent away rhythm, though they have shown the ability to pick up results on the road when organised.

The head-to-head history is evenly split, which is worth noting given Lechia's positional advantage. Piast have kept just over a quarter of their away games clean, suggesting they remain vulnerable, but Lechia's own defensive numbers mean goals at both ends are plausible.

The data suggests this plays out closer than the table gap implies. Piast are the kind of structured mid-table side that makes life difficult, and this looks tighter than many will expect.