Lech Poznan arrive into this fixture as league leaders with four wins from their last five, and their home record this season has been a relentless source of goals. With BTTS landing in 87% of their home games and over 2.5 goals in 93% of them, both figures sitting well above the Ekstraklasa averages of 58% and 52% respectively, Poznan's home fixtures consistently produce high-scoring affairs. Their average of 2.4 scored at home underlines that attacking intent, though conceding 1.7 per game suggests they leave space at the back.

Arka Gdynia sit 17th and are in poor away form, winning just once in their last five on the road while averaging only 0.6 goals away from home. Their away BTTS rate of just 33% points to a side that tends to shut up shop and still lose. The solitary H2H meeting ended in a Lech defeat, but the overall data suggests this feels like a one-sided contest with Poznan heavily favoured to impose themselves here.