Jagiellonia come into this in strong shape, winning three of their last five including back-to-back victories, and their home record this season has been consistently open. A BTTS rate of 75% and an over 2.5 rate of 81% at home both sit well above the Ekstraklasa averages of 57% and 51% respectively, reflecting an attacking setup that also carries some defensive vulnerability with an average of 1.5 conceded per home game.

Zaglebie arrive in reasonable form after a mixed run and have kept clean sheets in 25% of away games, which tempers things slightly. Their away BTTS and over 2.5 figures are closer to the league norm, suggesting they can be more cautious on the road.

The one previous meeting ended level, but Jagiellonia's home environment this season has been a high-scoring one. This fixture looks more open than a mid-table away trip might suggest, and the goal data points firmly in that direction.