A relegation six-pointer at Gdynia's Stadion Miejski, with both sides sitting in the bottom two and desperately needing points. Arka have been inconsistent at home, managing just one win in their last five, while Termalica arrive in poor shape having lost four of their last five away from home. The only previous meeting went against the hosts, though the sample size is too small to read much into.

What stands out in the data is the goalscoring environment. Both sides rank well above the league average for BTTS and Over 2.5 goals, with Arka seeing both metrics at 67% at home and Termalica conceding an average of two goals per away game while keeping clean sheets in just 12% of those fixtures. Goals look likely here.

Despite the pressure on Arka as hosts, their form is only marginally better than Termalica's. This looks tighter than you might expect from a home-versus-away narrative, and the visitors are not without hope of taking something.