Arka Gdynia arrive at this fixture in desperate shape, sitting 17th and having won just one of their last five. Their home record offers some statistical interest — BTTS lands in 67% of their home games and over 2.5 goals in an equal share, both notably above the Ekstraklasa average — but that reflects vulnerability as much as attacking threat, with 1.2 goals conceded per home game.

Gornik Zabrze, second in the table, bring momentum that is hard to ignore. Four wins from their last five away days, a clean sheet rate of 33% on the road, and an average of under 1.5 goals conceded away suggests a side that travels with defensive discipline intact.

The limited head-to-head history favours Zabrze, and the form gap between these two sides is significant. Gornik's away profile points to a tighter, more controlled game than Arka's home stats might suggest — the visitors look undervalued here.