Standard Liege vs Beveren — Belgian Pro League forecast, Friday, 6 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Standard Liege
53%
Draw
24%
Beveren
24%
Expected goals
1.82–1.14
Standard Liege · Beveren
Standard Liege win 53% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11.2%), 2–1 (9.8%), 2–0 (8.6%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 58% of simulations.
Those three cover 30% of outcomes; the other 70% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely Standard Liege win is 2–1 (9.8%).
Standard Liege score at least twice in 54%; Beveren in 32%.
Scoreline distribution
Beveren goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.8 | 5.3 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 8.6 | 11.2 | 6.3 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 8.6 | 9.8 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.3 | 5.9 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 1.5 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 1.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Standard Liege goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Market reference | 53% | 24% | 24% |
| Metis Forecast | 53% | 24% | 24% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Standard Liege | 1.83 |
| Draw | 3.96 |
| Beveren | 3.97 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 01 Nov · 04:37 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Standard Liege
| 8 Aug | H | vs Cercle Brugge | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Mechelen | 3–3 | D |
| 21 Aug | H | vs RAAL La Louviere | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 2–1 | W |
| 5 Sept | H | vs Antwerp | 1–0 | W |
Beveren
| 9 Aug | A | vs Antwerp | 1–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Anderlecht | 1–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | A | vs Waregem | 0–4 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | vs Genk | 0–4 | L |
| 6 Sept | H | vs Oud-Heverlee Leuven | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Standard Liege (Home · 4 matches) | Beveren (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 25.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 25.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.00 | 4.00 |
Home stats use Standard Liege's home record; away stats use Beveren's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.