WSG Tirol vs Hartberg — Austrian Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Sunday, 13 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 28.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
WSG Tirol
44%
top pick
Draw
26%
result
Hartberg
30%
Final score
2–2
Top pick missed
Metis gave the draw 26.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a WSG Tirol win. Expected goals 1.55–1.25 against 2–2 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–1 (12.4%), 2–1 (9.4%), 1–0 (8.8%). It finished 2–2.
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WSG Tirol
| 1 Aug | H | vs Sturm Graz | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | A | vs SCR Altach | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Salzburg | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | vs A. Lustenau | 4–0 | W |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Austria Vienna | 1–0 | W |
Hartberg
| 1 Aug | A | vs Salzburg | 0–1 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | vs Sturm Graz | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Austria Vienna | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | vs SCR Altach | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs SV Ried | 3–2 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | WSG Tirol (Home · 5 matches) | Hartberg (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 80.0% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.80 | 3.20 |
Home stats use WSG Tirol's home record; away stats use Hartberg's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.