WSG Tirol vs Austria Vienna — Austrian Bundesliga forecast, Sunday, 8 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
WSG Tirol
39%
Draw
27%
Austria Vienna
34%
Expected goals
1.52–1.39
WSG Tirol · Austria Vienna
WSG Tirol win 39% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.7%), 2–1 (8.4%), 1–2 (8.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 60% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
WSG Tirol score at least twice in 45%; Austria Vienna in 40%.
Scoreline distribution
Austria Vienna goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5 | 6.8 | 5.3 | 2.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 12.7 | 8.2 | 3.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 6.2 | 8.4 | 6.2 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 3.2 | 4.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.2 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: WSG Tirol goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 41% | 26% | 32% |
| Market reference | 39% | 27% | 34% |
| Metis Forecast | 39% | 27% | 34% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| WSG Tirol | 2.46 |
| Draw | 3.50 |
| Austria Vienna | 2.81 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 02 Nov · 05:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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WSG Tirol
| 1 Aug | H | vs Sturm Graz | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | A | vs SCR Altach | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Salzburg | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | vs A. Lustenau | 4–0 | W |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Austria Vienna | 1–0 | W |
Austria Vienna
| 13 Sept | H | vs Austria Lustenau | 2–1 | W |
| 2 Aug | A | vs Wolfsberger AC | 0–3 | L |
| 9 Aug | H | vs LASK | 0–2 | L |
| 16 Aug | A | vs Hartberg | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Salzburg | 1–4 | L |
Head to head
| 2 Sept 26 | Austria ViennavsTirol | 0 – 1 |
WSG Tirol: 1W 0D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | WSG Tirol (Home · 5 matches) | Austria Vienna (Away · 6 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 80.0% | 66.7% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 60.0% | 83.3% |
| Clean sheet | 0.0% | 16.7% |
| Avg goals | 2.80 | 3.67 |
Home stats use WSG Tirol's home record; away stats use Austria Vienna's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.