Wolfsberger AC vs Rapid Vienna — Austrian Bundesliga result and pre-match forecast, Saturday, 12 September 2026
Metis pre-match forecast
Market-anchored distributionFrozen as published · 9.1 h before kick-off. Never re-computed after the match.
Wolfsberger AC
18%
Draw
20%
Rapid Vienna
62%
pick · result
Final score
0–3
Top pick landed
Metis gave a Rapid Vienna win 62.1% before kick-off, and its most likely result was a Rapid Vienna win. Expected goals 1.04–1.87 against 0–3 actual.
Forecast against the result
How this forecast scored
Both scores are losses: lower is better, 0 is a forecast that put all of its probability on what happened. A single fixture says nothing on its own — the league's running record is on its league page, and the model is measured against the Pinnacle opening price in the methodology.
Most likely scores before kick-off: 1–2 (13.1%), 0–1 (11.9%), 0–2 (10.3%). It finished 0–3.
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Wolfsberger AC
| 2 Aug | H | vs Austria Vienna | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Salzburg | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | vs A. Lustenau | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Grazer AK | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Sept | H | vs LASK | 1–3 | L |
Rapid Vienna
| 2 Aug | H | vs SCR Altach | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs SV Ried | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Grazer AK | 8–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Sturm Graz | 3–1 | W |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Salzburg | 1–5 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | Wolfsberger AC (Home · 6 matches) | Rapid Vienna (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 50.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 16.7% | 60.0% |
| Avg goals | 2.67 | 3.20 |
Home stats use Wolfsberger AC's home record; away stats use Rapid Vienna's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.