SCR Altach vs SV Ried — Austrian Bundesliga forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
SCR Altach
45%
Draw
25%
SV Ried
30%
Expected goals
1.52–1.24
SCR Altach · SV Ried
SCR Altach win 45% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12.0%), 2–1 (9.9%), 1–0 (9.5%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 56% of simulations.
Those three cover 31% of outcomes; the other 69% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
The most likely SCR Altach win is 2–1 (9.9%).
SCR Altach score at least twice in 45%; SV Ried in 35%.
Scoreline distribution
SV Ried goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.8 | 6.8 | 5.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 9.5 | 12.0 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 7.6 | 9.9 | 5.2 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 3.6 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: SCR Altach goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 39% | 27% | 33% |
| Market reference | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| Metis Forecast | 45% | 25% | 30% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| SCR Altach | 2.15 |
| Draw | 3.72 |
| SV Ried | 3.15 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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SCR Altach
| 2 Aug | A | vs Rapid Vienna | 0–1 | L |
| 7 Aug | H | vs WSG Tirol | 3–1 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | vs Sturm Graz | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | vs Hartberg | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs LASK | 0–3 | L |
SV Ried
| 2 Aug | A | vs A. Lustenau | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Rapid Vienna | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | vs LASK | 1–4 | L |
| 21 Aug | H | vs Grazer AK | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | vs Hartberg | 2–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | SCR Altach (Home · 4 matches) | SV Ried (Away · 4 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 75.0% | 100.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 100.0% | 75.0% |
| Clean sheet | 25.0% | 0.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 3.75 |
Home stats use SCR Altach's home record; away stats use SV Ried's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.