Rapid Vienna vs Wolfsberger AC — Austrian Bundesliga forecast, Friday, 6 November 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
Rapid Vienna
77%
Draw
13%
Wolfsberger AC
10%
Expected goals
2.73–0.88
Rapid Vienna · Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna win 77% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10.4%), 3–0 (9.3%), 2–1 (9.2%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 55% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
Rapid Vienna score at least twice in 76%; Wolfsberger AC in 22%.
Scoreline distribution
Wolfsberger AC goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.8 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 6.1 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 2 | 10.4 | 9.2 | 3.4 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 9.3 | 8.3 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 6.3 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 5.8 | 5.1 | 2.3 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: Rapid Vienna goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 77% | 16% | 8% |
| Market reference | 77% | 13% | 10% |
| Metis Forecast | 77% | 13% | 10% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| Rapid Vienna | 1.26 |
| Draw | 6.67 |
| Wolfsberger AC | 8.76 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 02 Nov · 05:06 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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Rapid Vienna
| 2 Aug | H | vs SCR Altach | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs SV Ried | 2–1 | W |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Grazer AK | 8–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | H | vs Sturm Graz | 3–1 | W |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Salzburg | 1–5 | L |
Wolfsberger AC
| 2 Aug | H | vs Austria Vienna | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | H | vs Salzburg | 1–1 | D |
| 15 Aug | A | vs A. Lustenau | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | vs Grazer AK | 0–0 | D |
| 1 Sept | H | vs LASK | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
| 12 Sept 26 | Wolfsberger ACvsSK Rapid | 0 – 3 |
Rapid Vienna: 1W 0D 0L in last 1
Model context
| Stat | Rapid Vienna (Home · 6 matches) | Wolfsberger AC (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 50.0% | 40.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 83.3% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 20.0% |
| Avg goals | 4.33 | 2.40 |
Home stats use Rapid Vienna's home record; away stats use Wolfsberger AC's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.