LASK vs WSG Tirol — Austrian Bundesliga forecast, Saturday, 31 October 2026
Metis Forecast
Market-anchored distributionModel updated
LASK
71%
Draw
17%
WSG Tirol
13%
Expected goals
2.45–0.90
LASK · WSG Tirol
LASK win 71% of the current Metis Forecast. Most likely scores: 2–0 (10.6%), 2–1 (9.3%), 3–0 (8.8%).More forecast detail +
Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
Those three cover 29% of outcomes; the other 71% is spread across every remaining scoreline.
LASK score at least twice in 70%; WSG Tirol in 23%.
Scoreline distribution
WSG Tirol goals →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5+ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.9 | 2.9 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 1 | 8.0 | 7.8 | 3.9 | 1.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 10.6 | 9.3 | 3.9 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 8.8 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 5.4 | 4.7 | 2.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| 5+ | 4.3 | 3.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
Rows: LASK goals · values are percentages
Match outcomes
Team scoring & clean sheets
Model vs market
| Source | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Raw Metis model | 73% | 18% | 9% |
| Market reference | 71% | 17% | 13% |
| Metis Forecast | 71% | 17% | 13% |
Market reference: pinnacle, de-vigged (shin) · price snapshot .
The forecast combines the model’s scoreline structure with market information where a fresh price exists. The raw model is kept separate and benchmarked independently against the Pinnacle opening price.
Most likely scores
Market odds
| Market | Pinnacle |
|---|---|
| LASK | 1.36 |
| Draw | 5.47 |
| WSG Tirol | 7.03 |
Market reference: Pinnacle. Prices shown for context, not as a best-price comparison.
Reference prices, published with the 26 Oct · 04:41 UTC model run. They are not live and will have moved since.
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LASK
| 29 Aug | H | vs Rheindorf Altach | 3–0 | W |
| 31 Jul | H | vs Grazer AK | 3–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | vs Austria Vienna | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | vs SV Ried | 4–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | vs SCR Altach | 3–0 | W |
WSG Tirol
| 1 Aug | H | vs Sturm Graz | 1–1 | D |
| 7 Aug | A | vs SCR Altach | 1–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | vs Salzburg | 0–3 | L |
| 28 Aug | A | vs A. Lustenau | 4–0 | W |
| 2 Sept | A | vs Austria Vienna | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings in the Metis results archive for this competition.
Model context
| Stat | LASK (Home · 4 matches) | WSG Tirol (Away · 5 matches) |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS rate | 25.0% | 20.0% |
| Over 2.5 rate | 75.0% | 60.0% |
| Clean sheet | 50.0% | 60.0% |
| Avg goals | 3.25 | 2.80 |
Home stats use LASK's home record; away stats use WSG Tirol's away record this season. These are completed-match rates over the samples shown above, not model probabilities — early in a season a handful of matches produces 0% and 100% readings.